Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.004298 0.004518 0.004745 0.004995 0.005264 0.005546 0.005864
2025-11-23 0.003917 0.004240 0.004587 0.004987 0.005438 0.005934 0.006522
2025-11-30 0.003632 0.004008 0.004422 0.004914 0.005487 0.006139 0.006942
2025-12-07 0.003420 0.003830 0.004292 0.004854 0.005526 0.006312 0.007312
2025-12-14 0.003274 0.003714 0.004219 0.004846 0.005613 0.006534 0.007740
2025-12-21 0.003076 0.003524 0.004045 0.004703 0.005522 0.006526 0.007871
2025-12-28 0.002983 0.003452 0.004005 0.004716 0.005618 0.006747 0.008301
2026-01-04 0.002919 0.003411 0.003999 0.004766 0.005760 0.007029 0.008821
2026-01-11 0.002823 0.003324 0.003931 0.004734 0.005790 0.007164 0.009146
2026-01-18 0.002746 0.003258 0.003885 0.004725 0.005846 0.007333 0.009525
2026-01-25 0.002662 0.003180 0.003820 0.004687 0.005861 0.007443 0.009823
2026-02-01 0.002637 0.003174 0.003846 0.004769 0.006039 0.007784 0.010474
2026-02-08 0.002562 0.003102 0.003785 0.004733 0.006055 0.007900 0.010801
2026-02-15 0.002503 0.003050 0.003747 0.004726 0.006110 0.008072 0.011225
2026-02-22 0.002424 0.002968 0.003668 0.004658 0.006074 0.008110 0.011437
2026-03-01 0.002354 0.002897 0.003599 0.004603 0.006053 0.008165 0.011679
2026-03-08 0.002307 0.002854 0.003566 0.004595 0.006099 0.008323 0.012096
2026-03-15 0.002216 0.002749 0.003448 0.004462 0.005956 0.008184 0.012007
2026-03-22 0.002181 0.002720 0.003432 0.004474 0.006028 0.008379 0.012496
2026-03-29 0.002161 0.002710 0.003440 0.004521 0.006153 0.008664 0.013158
2026-04-05 0.002116 0.002663 0.003397 0.004491 0.006159 0.008757 0.013487
2026-04-12 0.002079 0.002629 0.003369 0.004483 0.006197 0.008903 0.013920
2026-04-19 0.002036 0.002583 0.003325 0.004448 0.006192 0.008977 0.014224